[PW] Re: Number of birds in China in 1968/2006--reliable??

[Fred Acerri]

I agree.  I looked at various sites.  Some mentioned current statistics in 
the millions,(200 +million as I recall) of tonnage for chickens.  I would 
think it near impossible to extrapolate figures to give any kind of figures 
except to say '"that's a lot of chickens."

Fred A
----- Original Message ----- 
From: "Bob Boyce" <r.boyce at mail.lcl.lib.ne.us>
To: <list at project-wombat.org>; <list at project-wombat.org>
Sent: Saturday, September 02, 2006 12:41 PM
Subject: [PW] Re: Number of birds in China in 1968/2006--reliable??


>  I wonder how Dr. Osterholm got his figures, and how reliable they are. I 
> find the increase in numbers of pigs and chickens from 1968 to the present 
> to be incredible--5.2 million to 508 million pigs? 12 million to 13 
> billion chickens?
> A thousand times more chickens?
>  And of course, such changes as this throw into a cocked hat any attempt 
> to make projections about 1918, the years before and after...
>
> Bob Boyce
> Reference Department, Lincoln NE City Libraries
> r.boyce at LincolnLibraries.org
>
> ---------- Original Message ----------------------------------
> From: "Fred Acerri" <facerri at twmi.rr.com>
> Reply-To: list at project-wombat.org
> Date:  Fri, 1 Sep 2006 17:44:27 -0400
>
> Let's have some more numbers from Dr Osterholm, just to encourage you. He
> writes: "It is sobering to realize that in 1968, when the most recent
> influenza pandemic occurred, the virus emerged in a China that had a human
> population of 790 million, a pig population of 5.2 million, and a poultry
> population of 12.3 million; today, these populations number 1.3 billion, 
> 508
> million, and 13 billion, respectively.
> Info gotten from this site: http://avianflu.futurehs.com/?m=200506
> Fred A
>
>
>
> ----- Original Message ----- 
> From: "maura deedy" <mdeedy at fergusonlibrary.org>
> To: <list at project-wombat.org>
> Sent: Friday, September 01, 2006 4:08 PM
> Subject: [PW] Number of birds in China in 1918
>
>
>> Alright,
>>
>> Here is my first posting. A good one for a late Friday.
>>
>> My patron is interested in the number of birds or chickens in China in
>> 1918 and a few years before and after.
>> I found some articles that talk about the 1918 Flu and today's Bird Flu
>> scares. But, I wonder if this is data that exists. I know there are many
>> different variables to be considered, but some general number would be
>> great.
>>
>> I figured it is worth it to bounce it off the wombats...
>>
>> Cheers!
>>
>> -- 
>> Maura Deedy
>> Reference Librarian, Information Services
>> The Ferguson Library
>> One Public Library Plaza
>> Stamford, CT 06904
>> 203-351-8239
>>
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